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AI & Emerging Tech in Federal Contracting: 2025 Trends to Watch

AI & Emerging Tech in Federal Contracting: 2025 Trends to Watch

Introduction

As the federal government accelerates AI adoption in the wake of Executive Order 14110, contractors must align with rapidly evolving procurement priorities

Key Takeaways

  • Executive Action on AI: NIST AI RMF Adoption: Agencies are using the AI Risk Management Framework (Jan 2023) to guide procurement around transparency, fairness, and accountability in AI systems. NIST AI RMFrk

  • NIST AI RMF Adoption: Agencies are using the AI Risk Management Framework (Jan 2023) to guide procurement around transparency, fairness, and accountability in AI systems. NIST AI RMF

  • Ethical AI is a Contract Requirement: Ethical AI is a Contract Requirement: Recent RFPs from DHS, HHS, and DoD emphasize AI governance, bias mitigation, and model auditability.

  • Tech Modernization Supports AI Growth: Cloud, data integration, and edge compute are being bundled into AI-related task orders, especially under IDIQs and GWACs.

Federal Spending & Opportunity Trends

  • Estimated $3B+ in AI & Emerging Tech Spending: Based on projected FY25 budgets across DoD, VA, DHS, HHS, and GSA for AI-related pilots, tools, and services

  • CIO-SP4 and Polaris: Set-aside vehicles increasingly used for AI, automation, cybersecurity, and modernization contracts.

  • High-Intent Agencies:

  • DoD (CDAO) – Scaling operational AI/ML..

  • DHS – Pilots for bias detection in AI-driven decision-making.

  • VA – NLP and AI for records modernization.

  • NIH – Advanced data science and AI research applications.

Strategic Recommendations

  • Align with NIST AI RMF: Frame capabilities around the framework's 4 core functions – Govern, Map, Measure, Manage.

  • Highlight Explainability and Bias Mitigation : These are now evaluation factors in many AI-related RFPs.

  • Position for Agile Delivery: Agencies prefer modular, pilot-first contracts over monolithic systems.

  • Use Teaming to Expand Capability: Many awards are going to partnerships offering blended data science, infrastructure, and security solutions.

How Contragenix Can Help

Contragenix supports businesses navigating the fast-moving AI and emerging tech landscape in federal contracting

  • Opportunity Scanning: Stay ahead of AI-focused RFIs, RFPs, and pilot programs.

  • Proposal Strategy: Win themes and compliance guidance for AI procurement..

  • Strategic Teaming: Connect with partners in cloud, data science, and AI governance.

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